HDD: Adele (325-350K)

[Wayne]

Early predictions are in:


HITS:

ADELE ROLLING: Score one for Steve Barnett’s Team Columbia, as Adele’s 21, which hits U.S. retail today, has pre-orders totaling nearly 60k over multiple accounts. Add in strong out-of-the-gate sales with huge digital numbers and early indications suggest it will sell around 225-250k, a lock for #1 next week. This is in addition to the Brit Awards-fueled sales explosion in the U.K., which has landed the pop diva with two in the Top 5 on the albums and singles chart, the first since the Beatles to do so. (2/22p)

:o

[HeatSeeker]

Refreshing numbers! Go Adele :D

[HeatSeeker]

Update


Adele's XL/Columbia sophomore release, 21, will explode onto the chart next week with a total that could exceed 300k. The rest of the Top 15 is made up of the usual suspects from the last few weeks, only with a lot lower numbers as the post-Grammy/Valentine's Day hangover begins. Of note this week, Mumford & Sons and Rihanna are both expected to cross the 1m mark.

Justin Bieber Never Say Never-The Remixes (Island/IDJ) 110-120k
Now 37 (Capitol/EMI) 65-70k
Mumford & Sons (Glassnote) 60-65k
Justin Bieber My World 2.0 (Island/IDJ) 45-50k
Bruno Mars (New Elektra) 35-40k
Rihanna (Def Jam/IDJ) 35-40k
Nicki Minaj (Young Money/Cash Money/Universal Motown) 30-35k
Eminem (Shady/Aftermath/Interscope) 27-30k
Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 27-30k
Jason Aldean (Broken Bow) 24-27k
Pink (LaFace/JLG) 21-24k
2011 Grammy Nominees (Jive/JLG) 21-24k
Katy Perry (Capitol/EMI) 21-24k
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 21-24k

Bieber's holding up well, with possibly 2 albums in the top 5. I hope Adele passes 300K!

[Wayne]

I'd love Adele to surpass the 300k mark, also very impressed by Bieber! Adele is smashing on iTunes at the moment too!

[HeatSeeker]

Just sad that there aren't any other new releases in the top 15. Who's out next week?

[Wayne]

In the same week as Adele, an act called Celtic Thunder releases an album.

Adele's last album, 19 debuted with 5,400 sales! She's looking at a 5,555% increase in first week sales! :o

[Wayne]

Further to the above Diego, here's a full list of the next two months:

March 1, 2011

Marsha Ambrosius - Late Nights & Early Mornings
John Popper & The Duskray Troubadours - Self Titled
Lucinda Williams - Blessed

March 8, 2011

R.E.M. - Collapse Into Now
Avril Lavigne - Goodbye Lullaby
Beady Eye - Different Gear, Still Speeding
Lupe Fiasco - LASERS
Sara Evans - Stronger

March 15, 2011

Rise Against - Endgame

March 22, 2011

Duran Duran - All You Need Is Now
Jennifer Hudson - I Remember Me
Chris Brown - F.A.M.E. & Fortune
Green Day - Awesome As F**k (Live CD/DVD)
Edwyn Collins - Losing Sleep
Pitbull - Planet Pit
Saliva - Under Your Skin

March 29, 2011

Britney Spears - Femme Fatale
Jennifer Lopez - Love?
Panic! At The Disco - Vices and Virtues
Wiz Khalifa - Rolling Papers
Michael Grimm - self-titled
Snoop Dogg - The Doggumentary
Peter Bjorn and John - Gimme Some
Roscoe Dash - Ready Set Go!

April 5, 2011

Wayne Brady - Radiowayne

April 12, 2011

Foo Fighters - TBA
Jessie J - Who You Are
3 Doors Down - Time Of My Life
Alison Krauss - TBA
Paul Simon - So Beautiful Or So What

April 19, 2011

Lloyd - King Of Hearts
Steve Miller - Let Your Hair Down
Kimberly Caldwell - Without Regret

April 26, 2011

Dirty Vegas - Electric Love
Royce Da 5’9” – Success Is Certain

May 3, 2011

Stevie Nicks - In Your Dreams
Aretha Franklin - Aretha: Woman Falling Out Of Love
Musiq Soulchild - MUSIQINTHEMAJIQ
Tinie Tempah - Disc-Overy

May 10, 2011

The Cars - Move Like This
Raphael Saadiq - Stone Rollin'

May 17, 2011

Moby - Destroyed

May 24, 2011

Lady Gaga - Born This Way (5/23)
Brad Paisley - This Is Country Music

May 31, 2011

Death Cab For Cutie - Codes and Keys

June 7, 2011

The-Dream - The Love, IV

[Wayne]

Hits Daily Double have upped their prediction!!!

Adele's XL/Columbia sophomore release, 21, will explode onto the chart next week with a total that will go between 325-350k, thanks to a spate of high-visibility TV performances. The rest of the Top 15 is made up of the usual suspects from the last few weeks, only with a lot lower numbers as the post-Grammy/Valentine's Day hangover begins. Of note this week, Mumford & Sons and Rihanna are both expected to cross the 1m mark.

Adele (XL/Columbia): 325-350k
Justin Bieber Never Say Never-The Remixes (Island/IDJ) 110-120k
Now 37 (Capitol/EMI) 65-70k
Mumford & Sons (Glassnote) 60-65k
Justin Bieber My World 2.0 (Island/IDJ) 45-50k
Bruno Mars (New Elektra) 35-40k
Rihanna (Def Jam/IDJ) 35-40k
Nicki Minaj (Young Money/Cash Money/Universal Motown) 30-35k
Eminem (Shady/Aftermath/Interscope) 27-30k|
Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 27-30k
Jason Aldean (Broken Bow) 24-27k
Pink (LaFace/JLG) 21-24k
2011 Grammy Nominees (Jive/JLG) 21-24k
Katy Perry (Capitol/EMI) 21-24k
Taylor Swift (Big Machine) 21-24k

[HeatSeeker]

Very nice! And happy that the top 2 albums will once again be over 100K

How much did her album sell in the UK first week?

[Wayne]

208k

[Wayne]

NOW IN: 54.02%

-- 1 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 86,002
21
1 2 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 67,612
NEVER SAY NEVER - THE REMIXES
3 3 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 37 CAPITOL/EMI 48,302
VARIOUS ARTISTS
2 4 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 43,064
SIGH NO MORE
8 5 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 19,460
MY WORLD 2.0
16 6 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 19,291
MY KINDA PARTY
5 7 BRUNO MARS NEW ELEKTRA 18,414
DOO-WOPS & HOOLIGANS
9 8 NICKI MINAJ YM/CASH MONEY/UNIV MOTOWN 17,186
PINK FRIDAY
10 9 RIHANNA DEF JAM/IDJ 15,684
LOUD
14 10 P!NK LAFACE/JLG 14,809
GREATEST HITS SO FAR
6 11 EMINEM SHADY/AFTERMATH/INT 14,484
RECOVERY
18 12 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 13,771
ACOUSTIC
4 13 LADY ANTEBELLUM CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 13,626
NEED YOU NOW
7 14 2011 GRAMMY NOMINEES JIVE/JLG 12,395
VARIOUS ARTISTS
15 15 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 12,091
SPEAK NOW
11 16 KATY PERRY CAPITOL/EMI 10,811
TEENAGE DREAM
29 17 THOMPSON SQUARE STONEY CREEK/BROKEN BOW 10,425
THOMPSON SQUARE
32 18 KID ROCK ATLANTIC 9,851
BORN FREE
27 19 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 8,208
KIDZ BOP 19
21 20 ZAC BROWN BAND ATLANTIC 7,909
YOU GET WHAT YOU GIVE
22 21 R. KELLY JIVE/JLG 7,466
LOVE LETTER
41 22 T.I. GRAND HUSTLE/ATLANTIC 7,449
NO MERCY
37 23 RASCAL FLATTS BIG MACHINE 7,139
NOTHING LIKE THIS
49 24 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 36 CAPITOL/EMI 6,923
VARIOUS ARTISTS
28 25 BLACK EYED PEAS INTERSCOPE 6,920
BEGINNING
35 26 JAMIE FOXX J RECORDS/RMG 6,848
BEST NIGHT OF MY LIFE
36 27 THE BAND PERRY UNIV REPUBLIC NASHVILLE 6,781
THE BAND PERRY
-- 28 TIM MCGRAW CURB 6,607
NUMBER ONE HITS
-- 29 WOW GOSPEL 2011 VERITY/JLG 6,397
VARIOUS ARTISTS
45 30 TREY SONGZ ATLANTIC 6,332
PASSION PAIN & PLEASURE
26 31 LADY GAGA INTERSCOPE 6,300
THE FAME
-- 32 BIG TIME RUSH COLUMBIA 6,209
BTR
20 33 MIRANDA LAMBERT COLUMBIA NASHVILLE 6,166
REVOLUTION
48 34 SUGARLAND MERCURY NASHVILLE 6,011
INCREDIBLE MACHINE
38 35 GLEE CAST COLUMBIA 5,854
GLEE: THE MUSIC, VOL. 4
44 36 KENNY CHESNEY BNA 5,742
HEMINGWAY'S WHISKEY
30 37 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 5,699
MY WORLD
-- 38 KERI HILSON INTERSCOPE 5,452
NO BOYS ALLOWED
40 39 TRAIN COLUMBIA 5,306
SAVE ME SAN FRANCISCO
-- 40 KEYSHIA COLE GEFFEN 5,111
CALLING ALL HEARTS
33 41 KANYE WEST ROC-A-FELLA/IDJMG 5,083
MY BEAUTIFUL DARK TWISTED...
42 42 BON JOVI ISLAND/IDJMG 5,025
GREATEST HITS
-- 43 BLACK EYED PEAS INTERSCOPE 5,001
THE E.N.D.
-- 44 KE$HA KEMOSABE/RCA/RMG 4,941
CANNIBAL
19 45 LIL WAYNE CASH MONEY/UNIV MOTOWN 4,701
I AM NOT A HUMAN BEING
50 46 LINKIN PARK WARNER BROS. 4,684
A THOUSAND SUNS
24 47 CEE LO GREEN NEW ELEKTRA 4,109
LADY KILLER
25 48 BLACK KEYS NONESUCH 4,013
BROTHERS
31 49 GINUWINE NOTIFI 3,843
ELGIN
23 50 FLORENCE & THE MACHINE UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 3,832
LUNGS

[Neil]

Excited to see how this turns out :)

[Wayne]

-- 1 ADeLE XL/COLUMBIA 353,129 --
21
1 2 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 98,691 -40%
NEVER SAY NEVER - THE REMIXES
2 3 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 62,454 -52%
SIGH NO MORE
3 4 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 37 CAPITOL/EMI 59,445 -36%
VARIOUS ARTISTS
8 5 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 41,953 -20%
MY WORLD 2.0
5 6 BRUNO MARS NEW ELEKTRA 34,240 -45%
DOO-WOPS & HOOLIGANS
10 7 RIHANNA DEF JAM/IDJ 32,691 -29%
LOUD
9 8 NICKI MINAJ YM/CASH MONEY/UNIV MOTOWN 31,889 -31%
PINK FRIDAY
6 9 EMINEM SHADY/AFTERMATH/INT 31,511 -49%
RECOVERY
16 10 JASON ALDEAN BROKEN BOW 26,957 -10%
MY KINDA PARTY
14 11 P!NK LAFACE/JLG 25,172 -21%
GREATEST HITS SO FAR
4 12 LADY ANTEBELLUM CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 24,195 -72%
NEED YOU NOW
11 13 KATY PERRY CAPITOL/EMI 23,314 -47%
TEENAGE DREAM
15 14 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 21,491 -30%
SPEAK NOW
7 15 2011 GRAMMY NOMINEES JIVE/JLG 18,308 -66%
VARIOUS ARTISTS
-- 16 ADELE XL/COLUMBIA 17,451 --
19
33 17 KANYE WEST ROC-A-FELLA/IDJMG 15,715 -10%
MY BEAUTIFUL DARK TWISTED...
23 18 FLORENCE & THE MACHINE UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 15,541 -33%
LUNGS
21 19 ZAC BROWN BAND ATLANTIC 14,978 -36%
YOU GET WHAT YOU GIVE
18 20 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 14,830 -40%
ACOUSTIC
25 21 BLACK KEYS NONESUCH 14,714 -33%
BROTHERS
-- 22 DESTROY REBUILD UNTIL GOD SHOWS SIRE 14,647 --
D.R.U.G.S.
30 23 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 14,446 -23%
MY WORLD
32 24 KID ROCK ATLANTIC 14,268 -19%
BORN FREE
26 25 LADY GAGA INTERSCOPE 14,238 -35%
THE FAME
27 26 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 14,053 -35%
KIDZ BOP 19
12 27 ARCADE FIRE MERGE 14,039 -67%
SUBURBS
37 28 RASCAL FLATTS BIG MACHINE 13,659 -14%
NOTHING LIKE THIS
29 29 THOMPSON SQUARE STONEY CREEK/BROKEN BOW 13,499 -33%
THOMPSON SQUARE
22 30 R. KELLY JIVE/JLG 13,225 -43%
LOVE LETTER
28 31 BLACK EYED PEAS INTERSCOPE 13,178 -35%
BEGINNING
19 32 LIL WAYNE CASH MONEY/UNIV MOTOWN 13,148 -46%
I AM NOT A HUMAN BEING
-- 33 CELTIC THUNDER DECCA 12,833 --
HERITAGE
41 34 T.I. GRAND HUSTLE/ATLANTIC 12,817 -14%
NO MERCY
-- 35 BIG TIME RUSH COLUMBIA 12,752 --
BTR
-- 36 JEFF BECK RHINO 12,246 --
ROCK 'N' ROLL PARTY
-- 37 G. LOVE BRUSHFIRE/UNIV REPUBLIC 11,739 --
FIXIN' TO DIE
35 38 JAMIE FOXX J RECORDS/RMG 11,696 -28%
BEST NIGHT OF MY LIFE
-- 39 BAYSIDE WIND-UP 11,557 --
KILLING TIME
24 40 CEE LO GREEN NEW ELEKTRA 11,444 -50%
LADY KILLER
38 41 GLEE CAST COLUMBIA 11,284 -28%
GLEE: THE MUSIC, VOL. 4
20 42 MIRANDA LAMBERT COLUMBIA NASHVILLE 11,273 -52%
REVOLUTION
45 43 TREY SONGZ ATLANTIC 11,002 -18%
PASSION PAIN & PLEASURE
-- 44 WOW GOSPEL 2011 VERITY/JLG 10,930 --
VARIOUS ARTISTS
44 45 KENNY CHESNEY BNA 10,658 -23%
HEMINGWAY'S WHISKEY
-- 46 DEVILDRIVER ROADRUNNER 10,414 --
BEAST
13 47 BRIGHT EYES SADDLE CREEK 10,362 -68%
PEOPLE'S KEY
42 48 BON JOVI ISLAND/IDJMG 10,229 -28%
GREATEST HITS
-- 49 KE$HA KEMOSABE/RCA/RMG 10,114 --
CANNIBAL
50 50 LINKIN PARK WARNER BROS. 10,005 -20%
A THOUSAND SUNS