HDD: Katy Perry scoring a Teenage Dream

[Wayne]

YOUR HANDY DANDY WEAKEND CHART PREVIEW

Katy Perry looks about the same as yesterday, maybe a tad bit better with projections still hovering around 200k, give or take. Here's how the rest of next week's chart shapes up, headed into the weekend. On the plus side, we could have three albums in six figures next week. Hey, you get on her cloud.

*Katy Perry (Capitol/EMI) 200k +/-
*Fantasia (J/RMG) 120-130k
Eminem (Shady/Aftermath/Interscope) 95-100k
*Usher Versus (LaFace/JLG) 40-45k
*Little Big Town (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 40-45k
Kem (Universal Motown) 30-35k
Trace Adkins (Show Dog) 27-30k
*Never Shout Never (Sire) 25-28k
*Randy Rogers Band (MCA Nashville) 24-27k
Justin Bieber (Island/IDJ) 24-27k
Kidz Bop 18 (Razor & Tie) 21-24k
Lady Antebellum (Capitol Nashville/EMI) 21-24kRapid recovery.
Ray Lamontagne (RCA/RMG) 21-24k
*The Devil Wears Prada (Ferret) 21-24k
Rick Ross (Def Jam/IDJ) 18-21k
Drake (Young Money/Cash Money/Universal Motown) 18-21k
* Debuts (8/26p)

What you wanted to see Diego?

[HeatSeeker]

What you wanted to see Diego?

Well I admit that I was disappointed with the projection, because there was SO much buzz about this album all over the Internet and everyone was saying how much they were loving it, added to the fact that she has two big singles out atm. However, as people pointed out, pure pop albums don't usually have a big first week, and I just think of her last album, which opened at 47K and went on to sell almost 1.3m. As long as the hits keep coming, the album should have long legs, and with the holiday season I can see this going into 1.5m territory. And hey, at least she'll have a #1 album!

Now then, let's hit that 200K Perry!

[Wayne]

I agree. Pure pop albums don't normally shift such big numbers, I definitely think that star collaborations with non-pop artists such as on California Girls will help her shift huge numbers with this LP! I hope that she manages to get at least the 200k numbers HDD think she will!

[HeatSeeker]

I definitely think that star collaborations with non-pop artists such as on California Girls will help her shift huge numbers with this LP!

Disagree with this point. CG was more of a novelty song, similar to IKAG, not the type of hit that makes people want to buy albums. Also, she didn't do any other collabo's on this album, sadly.

[Wayne]

Well if it wasn't that song, and its live performances that has sold the album, then what would you say has sold the album?

[HeatSeeker]

Well if it wasn't that song, and its live performances that has sold the album, then what would you say has sold the album?

It's a combination of things. Sure, it was a huge hit and got people interested in Katy again, but part of the reason the album is selling is the follow-up single, Teenage Dream. That sounds more like something people would take seriously and want to buy an album for. Also, she's had an impeccable image this era, looking f*cking amazing, and you know how people are about looks.

Just take a look at her hit IKAG in 2008 - spent 7 weeks @#1 yet the album only made it to #9 on the BB200.

[HeatSeeker]

54.98%

LW TW artist / album label power index
-- 1 KATY PERRY CAPITOL/EMI 106,903
TEENAGE DREAM
-- 2 FANTASIA J RECORDS/RMG 87,127
BACK TO ME
1 3 EMINEM SHADY/AFTERMATH/INT 53,443
RECOVERY
-- 4 USHER LAFACE/JLG 29,317
VERSUS
-- 5 LITTLE BIG TOWN CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 26,637
REASON WHY
8 6 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 18,467
MY WORLD 2.0
2 7 KEM UNIVERSAL MOTOWN 17,891
INTIMACY
5 8 TRACE ADKINS SHOW DOG 17,830
COWBOY'S BACK IN TOWN
15 9 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 17,601
KIDZ BOP 18
7 10 LADY ANTEBELLUM CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 14,742
NEED YOU NOW
12 11 DRAKE YM/CASH MONEY/UNIV MOTOWN 9,742
THANK ME LATER
21 12 MIRANDA LAMBERT COLUMBIA NASHVILLE 9,732
REVOLUTION
20 13 ZAC BROWN BAND ATLANTIC 9,287
FOUNDATION
23 14 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 34 CAPITOL/EMI 9,285
VARIOUS ARTISTS
16 15 LADY GAGA INTERSCOPE 9,276
FAME
13 16 AVENGED SEVENFOLD WARNER BROS. 8,142
NIGHTMARE
4 17 IRON MAIDEN COLUMBIA 7,918
FINAL FRONTIER
11 18 RICK ROSS DEF JAM/IDJ 7,682
TEFLON DON
24 19 KE$HA KEMOSABE/RCA/RMG 6,894
ANIMAL
-- 20 RANDY ROGERS BAND MCA NASHVILLE 6,806
BURNING THE DAY
42 21 ENRIQUE IGLESIAS UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 6,678
EUPHORIA
30 22 USHER LAFACE/JLG 6,575
RAYMOND VS. RAYMOND
14 23 CAMP ROCK 2: THE FINAL JAM WALT DISNEY 6,569
SOUNDTRACK
17 24 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 6,250
SIGH NO MORE
44 25 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 5,822
MY WORLD
19 26 BLAKE SHELTON WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 5,439
ALL ABOUT TONIGHT
45 27 JERROD NIEMANN ARISTA NASHVILLE 5,288
JUDGE JERROD & THE HUNG JURY
34 28 LADY GAGA INTERSCOPE 5,265
THE REMIX
-- 29 APOCALYPTICA JIVE/RED INK 5,102
7TH SYMPHONY
48 30 BIG BOI DEF JAM/IDJ 4,713
SIR LUCIOUS LEFT FOOT
41 31 MILEY CYRUS HOLLYWOOD 4,615
CAN'T BE TAMED
33 32 JACK JOHNSON BRUSHFIRE/UNIV REPUBLIC 4,600
TO THE SEA
38 33 LADY GAGA INTERSCOPE 4,576
FAME MONSTER (EP)
28 34 SHERYL CROW A&M 4,447
100 MILES FROM MEMPHIS
-- 35 DEVIL WEARS PRADA FERRET RECORDS 4,277
ZOMBIE EP
-- 36 GODSMACK UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 4,080
THE ORACLE
-- 37 NEVER SHOUT NEVER SIRE 3,882
HARMONY
22 38 CAROLE KING & JAMES TAYLOR HEAR MUSIC 3,861
LIVE AT THE TROUBADOUR
3 39 RAY LAMONTAGNE RCA/RMG 3,704
GOD WILLIN' & THE CREEK DON'T RI
32 40 B.O.B. ATLANTIC 3,657
ADVENTURES OF BOBBY RAY
-- 41 NICKELBACK ROADRUNNER 3,582
DARK HORSE
47 42 CARRIE UNDERWOOD 19/ARISTA NASHVILLE 3,276
PLAY ON
35 43 TRAIN COLUMBIA 3,247
SAVE ME SAN FRANCISCO
6 44 ARCADE FIRE MERGE 3,210
SUBURBS
-- 45 MICHAEL BUBLE REPRISE 3,039
CRAZY LOVE
37 46 BUN B RAP-A-LOT 2,953
TRILL O.G.
-- 47 JOHN MAYER COLUMBIA 2,831
BATTLE STUDIES
36 48 BLACK KEYS NONESUCH 2,783
BROTHERS
43 49 DONDRIA MALACO 2,573
DONDRIA VS. PHATFFFAT
-- 50 FIVE FINGER DEATH PUNCH PROSPECT PARK 2,530
WAR IS THE ANSWER

[Wayne]

It's a combination of things. Sure, it was a huge hit and got people interested in Katy again, but part of the reason the album is selling is the follow-up single, Teenage Dream. That sounds more like something people would take seriously and want to buy an album for. Also, she's had an impeccable image this era, looking f*cking amazing, and you know how people are about looks.

Just take a look at her hit IKAG in 2008 - spent 7 weeks @#1 yet the album only made it to #9 on the BB200.

Yet ironically has sold more to date than what this album potentially will do. I am intrigued to see how this will sell in weeks 2, 3 & 4.

A positive start of 106k. WOW @ Fantasia though. I hope one of them surpasses the magic 200k mark!

[Neil]

Attempting suicide was the smartest career move of her life! I've heard that the album is actually quite good, but I haven't got round to listening to it yet.

LOVING Katy's album, so I hope it can have a successful shelf life. Any of the songs could be a single IMO...

[Wayne]

CHART DATE: 08/30/2010
LAST UPDATE: 08/31/2010 13:16:16
NOW IN: FINAL

LW TW artist / album label power index % change
-- 1 KATY PERRY CAPITOL/EMI 194,233 --
TEENAGE DREAM
-- 2 FANTASIA J RECORDS/RMG 122,056 --
BACK TO ME
1 3 EMINEM SHADY/AFTERMATH/INT 98,689 -15%
RECOVERY
-- 4 USHER LAFACE/JLG 48,370 --
VERSUS
-- 5 LITTLE BIG TOWN CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 41,735 --
REASON WHY
2 6 KEM UNIVERSAL MOTOWN 28,847 -62%
INTIMACY
-- 7 RANDY ROGERS BAND MCA NASHVILLE 28,123 --
BURNING THE DAY
8 8 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 26,733 -11%
MY WORLD 2.0
-- 9 NEVER SHOUT NEVER SIRE 26,471 --
HARMONY
3 10 RAY LAMONTAGNE RCA/RMG 25,412 -60%
GOD WILLIN' & THE CREEK DON'T RI
5 11 TRACE ADKINS SHOW DOG 24,967 -48%
COWBOY'S BACK IN TOWN
15 12 KIDZ BOP KIDS RAZOR & TIE 24,309 +19%
KIDZ BOP 18
7 13 LADY ANTEBELLUM CAPITOL NASHVILLE/EMI 22,666 -31%
NEED YOU NOW
30 14 USHER LAFACE/JLG 21,070 +71%
RAYMOND VS. RAYMOND
6 15 ARCADE FIRE MERGE 20,660 -39%
SUBURBS
11 16 RICK ROSS DEF JAM/IDJ 20,563 -13%
TEFLON DON
12 17 DRAKE YM/CASH MONEY/UNIV MOTOWN 20,130 -14%
THANK ME LATER
4 18 IRON MAIDEN COLUMBIA 18,842 -70%
FINAL FRONTIER
14 19 CAMP ROCK 2: THE FINAL JAM WALT DISNEY 17,804 -20%
SOUNDTRACK
13 20 AVENGED SEVENFOLD WARNER BROS. 17,711 -20%
NIGHTMARE
17 21 MUMFORD & SONS GLASSNOTE 17,485 -5%
SIGH NO MORE
16 22 LADY GAGA INTERSCOPE 17,118 -12%
FAME
-- 23 DEVIL WEARS PRADA FERRET RECORDS 16,760 --
ZOMBIE EP
23 24 NOW THAT'S WHAT I CALL MUSIC 34 CAPITOL/EMI 15,932 +5%
VARIOUS ARTISTS
20 25 ZAC BROWN BAND ATLANTIC 14,711 -11%
FOUNDATION
24 26 KE$HA KEMOSABE/RCA/RMG 14,666 -3%
ANIMAL
36 27 BLACK KEYS NONESUCH 14,584 +39%
BROTHERS
21 28 MIRANDA LAMBERT COLUMBIA NASHVILLE 14,198 -9%
REVOLUTION
-- 29 APOCALYPTICA JIVE/RED INK 12,083 --
7TH SYMPHONY
19 30 BLAKE SHELTON WARNER BROS. NASHVILLE 10,773 -37%
ALL ABOUT TONIGHT
-- 31 TOM PETTY & THE HEARTBREAKERS REPRISE 10,741 --
MOJO
33 32 JACK JOHNSON BRUSHFIRE/UNIV REPUBLIC 10,288 -10%
TO THE SEA
28 33 SHERYL CROW A&M 10,105 -21%
100 MILES FROM MEMPHIS
26 34 BLACK EYED PEAS INTERSCOPE 10,085 -23%
E.N.D. (ENERGY NEVER DIES)
32 35 B.O.B. ATLANTIC 9,938 -14%
ADVENTURES OF BOBBY RAY
48 36 BIG BOI DEF JAM/IDJ 9,712 +17%
SIR LUCIOUS LEFT FOOT
38 37 LADY GAGA INTERSCOPE 9,282 -8%
FAME MONSTER (EP)
27 38 SCOTT PILGRIM VS. THE WORLD ABKCO 9,080 -30%
SOUNDTRACK
45 39 JERROD NIEMANN ARISTA NASHVILLE 9,045 -2%
JUDGE JERROD & THE HUNG JURY
35 40 TRAIN COLUMBIA 8,984 -16%
SAVE ME SAN FRANCISCO
42 41 ENRIQUE IGLESIAS UNIVERSAL REPUBLIC 8,954 -6%
EUPHORIA
34 42 LADY GAGA INTERSCOPE 8,865 -20%
THE REMIX
22 43 CAROLE KING & JAMES TAYLOR HEAR MUSIC 8,846 -43%
LIVE AT THE TROUBADOUR
49 44 TAYLOR SWIFT BIG MACHINE 8,157 +1%
FEARLESS
44 45 JUSTIN BIEBER ISLAND/IDJMG 8,122 -13%
MY WORLD
25 46 EAT PRAY LOVE MONKEYWRENCH 8,077 -45%
SOUNDTRACK
10 47 JOHN MELLENCAMP ROUNDER 7,919 -67%
NO BETTER THAN THIS
41 48 MILEY CYRUS HOLLYWOOD 7,912 -20%
CAN'T BE TAMED
31 49 BRIAN WILSON DISNEY PEARL 7,586 -37%
REIMAGINES GERSHWIN
37 50 BUN B RAP-A-LOT 7,577 -27%
TRILL O.G.

[HeatSeeker]

Yet ironically has sold more to date than what this album potentially will do. I am intrigued to see how this will sell in weeks 2, 3 & 4.

A positive start of 106k. WOW @ Fantasia though. I hope one of them surpasses the magic 200k mark!

Yes it ended up doing well because the hits kept coming, but if IKAG had been the only hit single it would've sold half what it did. I think the same will happen for this album.

[Wayne]

If typical Billboard-HDD finishes are anything to go by, Perry will do about 185k. Which isn't a bad result I suppose

[HeatSeeker]

^ I'm hoping the SS sales will be a little higher, at least not less than 190K.